Tag Archives: Powell River – North Island

Greens & Conservatives Dividing Vancouver Island

By Roy L Hales

An NDP staffer recently pointed out that the national poll projections for our riding are mostly algorithms, based on national numbers with very little if any information actually coming from Powell River – North Island. “The only poll that matters is on election day.” I can’t help but wonder what he would have said if 338Canada had projected the NDP leading. 338Canada’s creator, astrophysicist Philippe J. Fournier, accurately picked the winners in 90% of Quebec’s and Ontario’s ridings during their 2018 provincial elections. That’s pretty impressive when you consider how much can change in a day. As of September 16, 2019, Fournier’s projections show the Greens & Conservatives dividing Vancouver Island.

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Who Should I Vote For?

On October 21, Canadians will once again get a chance to exercise their right to decide which political party will guide the nation for the next four years. So I emailed each of the candidates in our riding, requesting an interview. Hopefully their answers will help each of us decide,  who should I vote for? 

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Support for Conservatives Rising On Vancouver Island

By Roy L Hales

At best, advance polling and projections depict the situation at a given point in time. The September 8, 2019, projections from 338Canada show the Green party continuing to maintain a healthy lead in four Vancouver Island ridings. However, in the midst of an intense three way race for second place, the data shows support for the Conservatives rising.

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Four Way Race In Powell River – North Island

By Roy L Hales

The latest projection from 338Canada depict a four party race in Powell River – North Island. While the NDP incumbent, Rachel Blaney, is still ahead, the margin is so small that the NDP, Conservatives and Greens are virtually tied. The last place Liberal party is only about 7.4% behind the leader.

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