The most recent provincial modelling shows that if enough people are vaccinated and personal interactions remain well below pre-pandemic levels, BC might be nearly COVID free by September.
On its way to being nearly COVID free
While the number of active cases in North Vancouver Island has risen slightly since CKTZ’s report last week, from 5 to 8, the most recent data BC Centre for Disease Control report states that most Local Health Areas have a daily case rate of zero out of 100,000.
The exception is the Comox Valley, where the rate has risen to 1 per 100,000.
In the most recent map, for the EPI week ending on June 5th, there were 3 cases in the Comox Valley.
There were no cases in the Greater Campbell River Health Area. This is an improvement over last week’s report, when there was one . As the numbers in the Surveillance Dashboard are obviously rounded off, it states the daily rate has dropped from zero to zero.
As of yesterday, the number of active cases on Vancouver Island has dropped to 49.
There are currently no school exposures anywhere on the Island.
Variants of Concern on Vancouver Island
The most recent weekly update on variants of concern states that they are probably found in roughly 62% of the cases on Vancouver Island.
There are no known cases of the Delta variant, B.1.617, in the data for the week ending on May 22nd.
Only two strains appear in the report: 62% of the VoC cases are “Brazil variant” (Variant P.1) and 38% is the “UK variant” (Variant B.1.1.7)
Links of Interest:
- (BCCDC) COVID-19 Surveillance Dashboard
- Island Health’s COVID-19 dashboard
- (VIHA) School Exposure page
- (Gov of BC) BC’s Restart: A plan to bring us back together
- (Cortes Currents) COVID Updates
Top photo credit: Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine by Marco Verch, Professional Photographer, via Flickr (CC BY SA, 2.0 License)
Sign-up for Cortes Currents email-out:
To receive an emailed catalogue of articles on Cortes Currents, send a (blank) email to subscribe to your desired frequency:
- Daily, (articles posted during the last 24 hours) – cortescurrents-daily+subscribe@cortes.groups.io
- Weekly Digest cortescurrents – cortescurrents-weekly+subscribe@cortes.groups.io