Tag Archives: 338Canada

Will there be a spring election in 2026?

Once again, the polls suggest Mark Carney’s government could win a majority if there were an election right now. 338Canada suggests the Liberals could win as many as 185 seats, while the Conservatives shrink back to 125. In North Island–Powell River, Aaron Gunn is still projected as the winner with 36% of the popular vote, according to 338Canada, but the Liberals and NDP are right behind him with 30% each. Some believe Canada may have a spring election in 2026.

Gunn said, “If I were a betting man, I would bet there’d be an election within the next two years for sure, but this spring – we’ll see. I think it will be up to Prime Minister Carney and the Liberal government. Speaking as a Conservative, I don’t think we’re going to force an election this spring.”

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What is the Strategic Vote In North Island-Powell River?

If you believe the climate is changing (i.e.- the average global temperature is increasing, the number and extent of extreme weather events are increasing, the mass die-off of shellfish along BC’s coast did occur etc, etc) you are probably not voting for the Conservative Party. So what is the strategic alternative?

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Tight Race in North Island–Powell River: Strategic Voters favouring Tanille Johnson

The federal election in North Island–Powell River (NIPR) may be far closer than recent projections suggest, but the ‘progressive’ vote is split between three parties (Green. Liberal and NDP). Some people are urging voters to rally behind a single alternative to Conservative candidate Aaron Gunn.

The Votewell and Smart Voting websites both declared the strategic vote in our riding  is the NDP candidate Tanille Johnson. As of Thursday, April 17, Johnson became the 18th Canadian candidate officially endorsed by Lead Now. So did the participants in a recent virtual townhall meeting on Cortes Island.   

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Ottawa needs parliamentarians, not partisans, Green Leader May says

Canada’s National Observer, Local Journalism Initiative Reporter

Green Party Leader Elizabeth May isn’t worried about getting squeezed out of the riding she has comfortably held since 2011.

May approaches each election as a job interview focused on her track record of effectiveness as party leader and service to her constituents, she said

“I’m not afraid of anything and have deep faith in the values that make us Canadian and make us Greens.”

 Speculation she’ll lose her seat is based on fear rather than facts and the party’s own polling in the riding shows otherwise, she said.

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Jessica Wegg: Why Green Voices Matter

The second in a series of candidate visits sponsored by the Cortes Island Climate Action Committee

Green Party candidate Jessica Wegg came to Gorge Hall, on Wednesday, April 16th, 2025. She won’t be the next Member of Parliament for North Island Powell River (NIPR).

“We commissioned a poll at our riding level. I think they made the phone calls March 20th to 24th, and it matched what 338Canada is saying. The Conservatives will likely win and the progressive vote will be split pretty evenly by the NDP and the Liberals. As long as the NDP and the Liberals are both running, neither party will get in,” she explained.

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