On October 21, Canadians will once again get a chance to exercise their right to decide which political party will guide the nation for the next four years. So I emailed each of the candidates in our riding, requesting an interview. Hopefully their answers will help each of us decide, who should I vote for?Continue reading Who Should I Vote For?
By Roy L Hales
An NDP staffer recently pointed out that the national poll projections for our riding are mostly algorithms, based on national numbers with very little if any information actually coming from Powell River – North Island. “The only poll that matters is on election day.” I can’t help but wonder what he would have said if 338Canada had projected the NDP leading. 338Canada’s creator, astrophysicist Philippe J. Fournier, accurately picked the winners in 90% of Quebec’s and Ontario’s ridings during their 2018 provincial elections. That’s pretty impressive when you consider how much can change in a day. As of September 16, 2019, Fournier’s projections show the Greens & Conservatives dividing Vancouver Island.Continue reading Greens & Conservatives Dividing Vancouver Island
To paraphrase a recent Washington Post article, during his nine years in power Stephen Harper avoided topics he did not wish to talk about whenever possible. Burnaby Now reported that the former Conservative Prime Minister projected a friendly, approachable image at his rallies, “except for that part where we’re not allowed to get anywhere near him or ask questions. I can’t help but think how every little detail is deliberate. Nothing is left to chance.” The National Post adds, “To this day, Liberal henchpersons are happy to excoriate Harper for having tried to ‘game the system’ and avoid scrutiny” – but in this election Trudeau is clearly out-Harpering Harper.Continue reading Out-Harpering Harper
By Roy L Hales
At best, advance polling and projections depict the situation at a given point in time. The September 8, 2019, projections from 338Canada show the Green party continuing to maintain a healthy lead in four Vancouver Island ridings. However, in the midst of an intense three way race for second place, the data shows support for the Conservatives rising.Continue reading Support for Conservatives Rising On Vancouver Island
By Roy L Hales
P.J. Fournier is a political analyst for CTV Montreal and CJAD 800, as well a contubutor to Maclean’s and L’actualité magazines. After a “certain degree of success” predicting the outcomes of the 2018 provincial elections in Ontario and Quebec, he turned his attention to the national scene. On his website, 338Canada, Fournier gives weekly projections for each of Canada’s 338 ridings. His most recent projection shows the Greens leading in four Vancouver Island ridings, and closely trailing in the other three. The Greens lead on Vancouver Island.Continue reading Greens Lead On Vancouver Island