(Article had to be rewritten after 338Canada released a surprise re-evaluation at 8 AM.)
As Canada prepares for an election, which may be called sometime before parliament is recalled on March 24, polls show the Conservatives and Liberals in a statistical tie. But 6 out of 8 recent polls also show the Liberals rising quickly and now narrowly ahead. On Sunday 338Canada projected the odds of a Conservative forming a majority government has fallen from 99% on January 19 to a mere 13%. About 8 AM Tuesday – an hour after Cortes Currents sent in its daily radio broadcast! – 338Canada revised its projections to suggest Mark Carney’s Liberals may be on it’s way to forming a majority government.