Tag Archives: Canada 2008 Election

The Liberal Party Resurgence in North Island-Powell River

Jennifer Lash recently wrote a column in which she compares the Liberal Party’s results in North Island-Powell River (NIPR) during the 2015 federal election to 2025.

“According to Elections Canada, the last time the Liberal candidate had a decent showing in the polls was in 2015 when they won 25% of the vote. In 2025, I won 26.2% of the vote. In 2015 the NDP secured  40% and won the riding however in 2025 they secured only 33% of the vote and lost. Very similar showing for the Liberals, very different results for the NDP.”

Lash’s conclusion was that the Liberals didn’t split the vote in 2025, the NDP could not hold on to their ‘vote share.’

Under Rachel Blaney, the NDP received roughly 38%–40% of the popular vote in three elections (2015, 2019, and 2021). However, Blaney did not run in 2025. With a new NDP candidate and a changing political landscape, the results shifted.

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Another Seat Or Two On Vancouver Island

On September 27, one of Canada’s leading pollsters, Nick Nanos, wrote, “the NDP will lose seats and the Greens will gain some in October, which will have a profound effect on parliament’s final makeup.” (It currently does not look like the Liberals or Conservatives will obtain a majority.) While their profile has grown throughout the nation, the Green Party is particularly strong on the West of Coast of British Columbia. 338Canada’s projections have consistently shown them leading in 4 out of the island’s ridings throughout this election campaign and they may pick up yet another seat or two on Vancouver Island. 

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Support for Conservatives Rising On Vancouver Island

At best, advance polling and projections depict the situation at a given point in time. The September 8, 2019, projections from 338Canada show the Green party continuing to maintain a healthy lead in four Vancouver Island ridings. However, in the midst of an intense three way race for second place, the data shows support for the Conservatives rising.

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