Tag Archives: National polls

Politics

Polls Suggest Liberals Increasing Their Lead

The seven most recent polls show Mark Carney’s Liberals ahead in what has largely become a two party election. Both 338Canada and CBC Poll Tracker project a Liberal majority, if the election were held today. 

“The Liberals are continuing to climb in the polls and are widening their lead over the Conservatives, putting them deeper into majority territory. The Conservatives are holding their vote but it is the steep slide for the New Democrats, who have dropped into the single-digits in popular support, that is contributing to the rise in the Liberals’ numbers,” wrote Éric Grenier on the Poll Tracker website.

“Not only do polls continue to show momentum for the incumbent Liberals, but new data shows Mark Carney now leads Poilievre in several other metrics—suggesting the LPC may not have reached its ceiling just yet,” stated Phillipe J Fournier of 338Canada.

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Politics

Candidates in North Island Powell River Comment On The Election

On Sunday March 23, Prime Minister Mark Carney asked the Governor General of Canada to dissolve parliament and call an election for April 28. Mary Simon, The King’s representative, agreed and signed the proclamations under the Great Seal of Canada to set this in motion.

Cortes Currents asked the candidates in North Island – Powell River (NIPR) for their comments. 

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Politics

Liberals betting on a Carney swell of support in North Island-Powell River


Editor’s Note: 338Canada’s latest projection shows the Liberals and Conservatives tied in terms of the popular vote, but in terms of seats it is 177 to 132, respectively. If he can hold or lengthen that lead, Mark Carney will be forming a majority government. In our riding, the race has been between the NDP and Conservatives for decades. Thus it is a bit of a shock to find the Liberals and NDP in a statistical tie for second place – separated by (3%) less than the projection’s margin of error (5-6%). It is going to be really interesting to see what 338Canada’s next projection will say both in our riding and for our nation. 

Canada’s National Observer, Local Journalism Initiative Reporter

The federal Liberal candidate in northern Vancouver Island is confident the surge of support behind Prime Minister Mark Carney will boost her chances in a riding that historically leans orange or blue. 

Jennifer Lash, the candidate for North Island-Powell River riding, noted Carney, a former governor for the Bank of Canada and more recently for the Bank of England, is laser-focused on the economy.

“He is, by far, the best federal political leader that we have to keep a steady hand on the tiller as we navigate the very stormy waters that Donald Trump is stirring up,” she said. 

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Politics

Polls suggest Liberals may be on their way to forming a majority government

(Article had to be rewritten after 338Canada released a surprise re-evaluation at 8 AM.)


As Canada prepares for an election, which may be called sometime before parliament is recalled on March 24, polls show the Conservatives and Liberals in a statistical tie. But 6 out of 8 recent polls also show the Liberals rising quickly and now narrowly ahead. On Sunday 338Canada projected the odds of a Conservative forming a majority government has fallen from 99% on January 19 to a mere 13%. About 8 AM Tuesday – an hour after Cortes Currents sent in its daily radio broadcast! – 338Canada revised its projections to suggest Mark Carney’s Liberals may be on it’s way to forming a majority government.

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Politics

Polls Suggest Gap Narrowing Nationally, And In Our Riding

After trailing far behind in the polls for the better part of two years, the Liberal party’s prospects appear to be on the rise nationally, and the gap between the Conservatives and NDP is narrowing in our riding. Canada’s two leading political forecasting websites, 338Canada and CBC’s poll tracker,  still show the Conservatives in the front, but no longer predict a Conservative majority. Last week Ipsos and EKOS both released polls showing the Liberal party edging into the lead. However Innovative Research,  Abacus Data, Leger, and Nanos all reported the Conservatives were still ahead.  

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